Quant Macro Investing

Risk Taking Disciplined

The Math of The Crash, a Man Made Disaster

As of 230pm HKT 9th Sep 2009, 30 Years yield is 4.31%





Do Not Read That Before Thursday, 17nth September 1100 EDT
The Math of The Crash, a Man Made Disaster.
Tel Aviv, Tuesday, 8th September 2009 0909 IDT.

The Market Crash has now taken place on Thursday, 17nth September 2009 at 1100 EDT.
It was the 222nd year of the American Constitution:

The United States Constitution was adopted on 17nth September, 1787, by the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

At 1000 EDT the Philadelphia Fed Survey was  Published.

It was also 10 years, 10 months and 10 days since the start of the impeachement process of Bill Clinton.

And, according to the Hebraic calendar, 12 years, 1 month, 1 day after the car Crash of Diana and Dodi al Fayed.

(Here we have a one day discrepancy but I believe it is because before the first day there was Toho Bohu.)
[13 and 12 are the numeric value of One in Hebrew (Chad and Echad). and 1776 = 16 x 111.]
If I could correctly predict the date of The Crash it is because it is a man made disaster.

Otherwise it would have been technically impossible.
Similarly I expect a large movement on the yield of the 30 years US TBonds on
Wednesday, 9th September 2009 1300 EDT getting below 4,150%

Reading this letter before I told you would have served no useful purpose:


“I do think the most relevant likely reason why we are dealing with what we are dealing with are
new forces in the international market. Their nature and their behaviour is not something
we are going to fully understand, if ever; certainly except in retrospect.”
Chairman Alan Greenspan AKA “The Delphic Conundrum”
Central Bank Panel Discussion.
To the International Monetary Conference.
Beijing, People’s Republic of China
(via satellite)
6th June 2005.


If you don’t understand it fully before The Crash, don’t worry, you rae not alone!

The New Forces have an obsession, among other things, with the number 111 and the Gregorian, Hebraic and Islamic Calendars.

Reading this letter before I told would have not saved you money, not even a dime:
“In retrospect, it appears that the most market-savvy managers,
although conscious that they were taking extraordinary risks,
succumbed to the concern that unless they continued to “get up and dance”,
as ex-Citigroup CEO Chuck Prince memorably put it, they would irretrievably lose market share.

Instead, they gambled that they could keep adding to their risky positions and
still sell them out before the deluge. Most were wrong.”

Alan Greenspan AKA “The Delphic Conundrum”
The Age of Turbulence.


My Yield Curve has repeatedly tried to pre-emptively trigger that event not to avail.

It anticipates, caused by The Crash, great potential dangers for economy, democracy, health, security, and freedom.

In order to thwart them, My Yield Curve established a list of global security measures that must be taken.
If taken, they should avert almost all of the negative consequences of The Crash.
The consequences of not taking them can not be exaggerated.


Post Market Crash Security Procedures, Blog: Instructions.
Post Market Crash Security Procedures, Facebook: Q&A Primary.
Post Market Crash Security Procedures, Twitter: 7/24 Updates.
Post Market Crash Security Measures, LinkedIn: Q&A Secondary.


Don’t call it 911! it is a 999 Call!
Don’t answer that Email this mail box is not monitored.
I am, yours sincerely,
Shalom P. Hamou
Chief Economist
My Yield Curve

September 9, 2009 - Posted by | Tools


  1. 1300 EDT
    9th Sep 2009 Wed
    30Y yield turned out to be 4.37%

    Comment by vicktorquant | September 9, 2009 | Reply

  2. Now
    30Y UST
    (11 Sept 09 2am HK Time)

    one day later, but below 4.15% as predicted… very tricky…

    Comment by vicktorquant | September 11, 2009 | Reply

  3. Good to be visiting your blog again, it months for me personally. Well this article which i’ve been waited for therefore long. I this post to complete my assignment in the university, and it has similar topic your own article. Thanks, great share.

    Comment by 7 String Bass | May 13, 2010 | Reply

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